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Thursday , 18 October 2018

Osun Re-run: Odds favour PDP, Why APC ‘ll still win

Adeleke (PDP) 254,698; Oyetola (APC) 254,345. Margin of victory is 353 and voided votes is 3,498 hence the re-run because voided votes is greater than margin of victory… the rerun would be in just seven polling units.Rerun is slated on Thursday 27th.It is not yet over,until it is over.

In Osun APC is playing catch up and will likely  closing in the rerun

ife south , ife north and orolu..are in APC and SDP territories – Ife North and South and Oshogbo .Ife is Omisore’s stronghold and he can play the beautiful bride. One thing is for sure, there will be a lot of meetings, alliances, horse-trading etc. in the run up to the re-run.

The rerun would have been easy for either party if they reach a deal with Omisore to sway SDP voters,but time is too short for that and the only way either parties will go about victory is monetising the process,i.e vote buying

It is easier for Omisore to strike a deal with Adeleke/PDP than with Tunubu, Aregbe/APC. Reason being that PDP being his former party and SPD and PDP being part of merger of CUPP, he can easily be convince to support PDP by his party than supporting APC he being a sworn enemy of Tunubu and Aregbesola that do referred him as a murderer even during this present election campaign.

Secondly, being OBJ boy, OBJ can easily talk to him to support Adeleke if OBJ is persuaded to do so rather than convincing him to support Tunubu/APC that has called him all sorts of printed names recently.

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